wscttwolfe
Active Member
So I've been doing some reading about this hurricane nonsense the weather sites are talking about...
"The GFS model, which has been one of our two top models for predicting hurricane tracks the past two years, has been very inconsistent with its handling of Sandy. Runs of the GFS model done 6 hours apart, at 8 pm last night and 2 am EDT this morning, were 300 miles apart in their position for Sandy on Tuesday, with the latest run predicting a landfall in Maine on Wednesday morning. On the other hand, the ECMWF model, our other top model for predicting hurricane tracks, has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy. The ECMWF model has Sandy hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon, the same forecast it has had for three consecutive runs. The other models tend to follow one extreme or the other, and NHC is picking a solution somewhere in the middle of these two extremes. " Source: Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Sandy slams Cuba, intensifies over the Bahamas | Weather Underground
So: IF these guys actually get this right (a big if), and this thing slams the mid atlantic, and I lose power for 24-36 hours (in downtown washington DC? can the power even go out in major cities?), then what can I do to prepare, and minimize fish and coral loss?
"The GFS model, which has been one of our two top models for predicting hurricane tracks the past two years, has been very inconsistent with its handling of Sandy. Runs of the GFS model done 6 hours apart, at 8 pm last night and 2 am EDT this morning, were 300 miles apart in their position for Sandy on Tuesday, with the latest run predicting a landfall in Maine on Wednesday morning. On the other hand, the ECMWF model, our other top model for predicting hurricane tracks, has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy. The ECMWF model has Sandy hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon, the same forecast it has had for three consecutive runs. The other models tend to follow one extreme or the other, and NHC is picking a solution somewhere in the middle of these two extremes. " Source: Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog : Sandy slams Cuba, intensifies over the Bahamas | Weather Underground
So: IF these guys actually get this right (a big if), and this thing slams the mid atlantic, and I lose power for 24-36 hours (in downtown washington DC? can the power even go out in major cities?), then what can I do to prepare, and minimize fish and coral loss?